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Retail Foot Traffic Estimator

Retail Foot Traffic Estimator predicts daily visitors using location, store size, population, marketing, and seasonality for optimized retail planning.

Formulas Used in Retail Foot Traffic Estimator

The calculator uses the following formulas to estimate foot traffic:

Base Foot Traffic:

\\[ T_{\text{base}} = P \cdot L \cdot S \\]

Marketing-Adjusted Traffic:

\\[ T_{\text{mkt}} = T_{\text{base}} \cdot (1 + \sum M_i \cdot E_i) \\]

Conversion-Adjusted Traffic:

\\[ T_{\text{conv}} = T_{\text{mkt}} \cdot C \cdot F \\]

Traffic Efficiency Score:

\\[ S = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{T_{\text{conv}}}{T_{\text{max}}}, 100\right) \\]

Where:

  • \\( T_{\text{base}} \\): Base daily foot traffic (visitors/day)
  • \\( P \\): Nearby population (thousands)
  • \\( L \\): Location factor (Urban: 0.05, Suburban: 0.03, Rural: 0.01)
  • \\( S \\): Store size factor (Small: 0.5, Medium: 1.0, Large: 1.5)
  • \\( T_{\text{mkt}} \\): Marketing-adjusted daily foot traffic (visitors/day)
  • \\( M_i \\): Marketing effort for campaign \\( i \\) (USD/thousand)
  • \\( E_i \\): Marketing effectiveness factor (Social Media: 0.1, Local Ads: 0.08, Promotions: 0.06)
  • \\( T_{\text{conv}} \\): Conversion-adjusted daily foot traffic (potential buyers/day)
  • \\( C \\): Conversion rate (decimal)
  • \\( F \\): Seasonal factor (Normal: 1.0, Holiday: 1.5, Off-Season: 0.8)
  • \\( S \\): Traffic efficiency score (%)
  • \\( T_{\text{max}} \\): Maximum reference traffic (1000 visitors/day)

Example Calculations

Example 1: Small Store, No Campaigns

Input: Population = 50 thousand, Location = Urban, Store Size = Small, Conversion Rate = 15%, Seasonal Factor = Normal, Campaigns = 0

\\[ T_{\text{base}} = P \cdot L \cdot S = 50 \cdot 0.05 \cdot 0.5 = 1.25 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{mkt}} = T_{\text{base}} \cdot (1 + 0) = 1.25 \cdot 1 = 1.25 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{conv}} = T_{\text{mkt}} \cdot C \cdot F = 1.25 \cdot 0.15 \cdot 1.0 = 0.1875 \ \text{potential buyers/day} \\] \\[ S = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{T_{\text{conv}}}{T_{\text{max}}}, 100\right) = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{0.1875}{1000}, 100\right) = 0.01875 \ \% \\]

Result: Base Traffic: 1.25 visitors/day, Marketing-Adjusted Traffic: 1.25 visitors/day, Conversion-Adjusted Traffic: 0.19 potential buyers/day, Efficiency Score: 0.02%

Example 2: Medium Store, Two Campaigns

Input: Population = 100 thousand, Location = Suburban, Store Size = Medium, Conversion Rate = 20%, Seasonal Factor = Holiday, Campaigns = 2 (Social Media: 5 USD/thousand; Local Ads: 3 USD/thousand)

\\[ T_{\text{base}} = P \cdot L \cdot S = 100 \cdot 0.03 \cdot 1.0 = 3 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{mkt}} = T_{\text{base}} \cdot (1 + \sum M_i \cdot E_i) = 3 \cdot (1 + (5 \cdot 0.1 + 3 \cdot 0.08)) = 3 \cdot (1 + 0.5 + 0.24) = 3 \cdot 1.74 = 5.22 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{conv}} = T_{\text{mkt}} \cdot C \cdot F = 5.22 \cdot 0.2 \cdot 1.5 = 1.566 \ \text{potential buyers/day} \\] \\[ S = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{T_{\text{conv}}}{T_{\text{max}}}, 100\right) = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{1.566}{1000}, 100\right) = 0.1566 \ \% \\]

Result: Base Traffic: 3 visitors/day, Marketing-Adjusted Traffic: 5.22 visitors/day, Conversion-Adjusted Traffic: 1.57 potential buyers/day, Efficiency Score: 0.16%

Example 3: Large Store, Three Campaigns

Input: Population = 200 thousand, Location = Urban, Store Size = Large, Conversion Rate = 25%, Seasonal Factor = Holiday, Campaigns = 3 (Social Media: 10 USD/thousand; Local Ads: 8 USD/thousand; Promotions: 5 USD/thousand)

\\[ T_{\text{base}} = P \cdot L \cdot S = 200 \cdot 0.05 \cdot 1.5 = 15 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{mkt}} = T_{\text{base}} \cdot (1 + \sum M_i \cdot E_i) = 15 \cdot (1 + (10 \cdot 0.1 + 8 \cdot 0.08 + 5 \cdot 0.06)) = 15 \cdot (1 + 1 + 0.64 + 0.3) = 15 \cdot 2.94 = 44.1 \ \text{visitors/day} \\] \\[ T_{\text{conv}} = T_{\text{mkt}} \cdot C \cdot F = 44.1 \cdot 0.25 \cdot 1.5 = 16.5375 \ \text{potential buyers/day} \\] \\[ S = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{T_{\text{conv}}}{T_{\text{max}}}, 100\right) = \min\left(100 \cdot \frac{16.5375}{1000}, 100\right) = 1.65375 \ \% \\]

Result: Base Traffic: 15 visitors/day, Marketing-Adjusted Traffic: 44.1 visitors/day, Conversion-Adjusted Traffic: 16.54 potential buyers/day, Efficiency Score: 1.65%

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